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Statistical Advance: Chase For The NASCAR Sprint Cup Week 2: Dover International Speedway

 

DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. (Sept. 15, 2008) – Though Talladega and Martinsville rank highest in the “Wild Card of the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup” discussion, Dover deserves a mention.

A lot can – and often times, does – happen at Dover. 

In each Chase season (2004-2007), the points lead changed hands after Dover.

In 2004, Jeff Gordon took it from Dale Earnhardt Jr. In 2005, Jimmie Johnson took it from Tony Stewart. In 2006, Jeff Burton took it from Richard Childress teammate Kevin Harvick. Last season, Gordon took it from Hendrick Motorsports teammate Jimmie Johnson.

It wouldn’t be surprising if it happens once again this weekend – and just like the last two years, the swap may be between teammates.

Greg Biffle, who staked a serious claim for the championship with his win at New Hampshire, is 30 points behind standings leader and Roush Fenway Racing teammate Carl Edwards.

The two are statistically the series’ best at Dover.

A winner there in 2005, Biffle has finished inside the top 10 in six of the past seven races. Over that span, he boasts series-highs in Driver Rating (116.1), Average Running Position (6.3), Fastest Laps Run (267) and Laps in the Top 15 percentage (94.5%). 

Edwards’ average Dover finish of 8.3 is a series-best. His driving style also lends itself to Dover’s concrete surface. In his NASCAR national series career, Edwards has 10 wins on concrete tracks. One of those wins came in this race last season, a wild one that saw 11 cars out of the race because of accidents.

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Top 12 at Dover International Speedway

 

Driver

Races

Poles

Wins

Top Fives

Top 10s

DNFs

Average Finish

Driver Rating

 

1

Carl Edwards

8

0

1

4

5

0

8.3

102.9

2

Jimmie Johnson

13

1

3

4

8

2

11.5

101.5

3

Greg Biffle

12

1

1

4

7

1

12.1

116.1

4

Dale Earnhardt Jr

17

0

1

4

7

1

16.9

80.5 

5

Jeff Burton

29

0

1

6

12

5

16.66

90.8

6

Denny Hamlin

5

0

0

1

2

1

21.0

74.6  

7

Tony Stewart

19

0

2

9

12

3

12.2

63.0

8

Kyle Busch

7

0

1

5

5

1

10.3

106.9

9

Clint Bowyer

5

0

0

0

2

0

16.2

88.2 

10

Kevin Harvick

15

0

0

2

5

1

19.3

71.0

11

Jeff Gordon

31

3

4

14

19

5

12.1

88.6

12

Matt Kenseth

19

1

1

6

11

4

14.7

112.3


Selected Driver Highlights
Note: All driver statistics that follow are from Dover International Speedway. The Loop Data statistics – Driver Rating, Average Running Position, etc. – in this release, however, cover the last seven races at Dover. NASCAR’s scoring loops began collecting data for statistical purposes in 2005.
 


Greg Biffle (No. 16 3M Ford) 
• One win, four top fives, seven top 10s; one pole
• Average finish of 12.1
• Series-best Average Running Position of 6.3
• Series-best Driver Rating of 116.1
• Series-high 267 Fastest Laps Run
• Average Green Flag Speed of 141.742, second-fastest
• Series-high 2,651 (94.5%) Laps in the Top 15
• 212 Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under green), second-most

Jeff Burton (No. 31 AT&T Mobility Chevrolet)
• One win, six top fives, 12 top 10s
• Average finish of 16.6
• Average Running Position of 13.6, 10th-best
• Driver Rating of 90.8, 10th-best
• 298 Green Flag Passes, fourth-most
• 1,931 (68.9%) Laps in the Top 15, ninth-most
• 169 Quality Passes, fourth-most

Kyle Busch (No. 18 M&M’s Toyota)
• One win, five top fives
• Average finish of 10.3
• Average Running Position of 11.9, eighth-best
• Driver Rating of 106.9, third-best
• 166 Fastest Laps Run, sixth-most
• 260 Green Flag Passes, 10th-most
• Average Green Flag Speed of 141.640 mph, third-fastest
• 2,059 (73.4%) Laps in the Top 15, sixth-most
• 154 Quality Passes, seventh-most

Carl Edwards (No. 99 Office Depot Ford)
• One win, four top fives, five top 10s
• Average finish of 8.3
• Average Running Position of 10.4, fourth-best
• Driver Rating of 102.9, fourth-best
• 232 Fastest Laps Run, third-most
• 265 Green Flag Passes, eighth-most
• 1,951 (69.6%) Laps in the Top 15, eighth-most
• 183 Quality Passes, third-most

Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Lowe’s Chevrolet)
• Three wins, four top fives, eight top 10s; one pole
• Average finish of 11.5
• Average Running Position of 12.3, ninth-best
• Driver Rating of 101.5, fifth-best
• 173 Fastest Laps Run, fifth-best
• 300 Green Flag Passes, third-most
• 2,039 (72.7%) Laps in the Top 15, seventh-most

Matt Kenseth (No. 17 DEWALT Ford)
• One win, six top fives, 11 top 10s; one pole
• Average finish of 14.7
• Average Running Position of 7.0, second-best
• Driver Rating of 112.3, second-best
• 244 Fastest Laps Run, second-most
• 268 Green Flag Passes, seventh-most
• Fastest Green Flag Speed of 141.752 mph
• 2,577 (91.9%) Laps in the Top 15, second-most
• Series-high 222 Quality Passes

Mark Martin (No. 8 U.S. Army Chevrolet)
• Four wins, 20 top fives, 27 top 10s
• 13.0 average finish
• Average Running Position of 10.5, sixth-best
• Driver Rating of 98.7, eighth-best
• 174 Fastest Laps Run, fourth-most
• Average Green Flag Speed of 141.358 mph, sixth-fastest
• 2,063 (73.6%) Laps in the Top 15, fifth-most

Ryan Newman (No. 12 Alltel Dodge)
• Three wins, six top fives, eight top 10s
• 10.3 average finish
• Average Running Position of 8.3, third-best
• Driver Rating of 99.7, sixth-best
• 82 Fastest Laps Run, 10th-most
• 2,438 (86.9%) Laps in the Top 15, second-most

Martin Truex Jr. (No. 1 Bass Pro Shops Chevrolet)
• One win, three top 10s
• 9.6 average finish
• Average Running Position of 11.0, seventh-best
• Driver Rating of 99.4, seventh-best
• 144 Fastest Laps Run, seventh-most
• Average Green Flag Speed of 141.362 mph, fifth-most
• 1,525 (76.3%) Laps in the Top 15, fourth-best percentage
• 149 Quality Passes (average of 29.8 per race), third-best average

At Dover International Speedway:

History
• The official opening of Dover International Speedway, then called Dover Downs International Speedway, was in 1969.
• The first NASCAR Sprint Cup race was held on July 6, 1969.
• The first two races at Dover were 300 miles. The race length was changed to 500 miles in 1971.
• The first NASCAR Nationwide Series race at Dover was May 15, 1982.
• The track surface was changed to concrete in 1995.
• The race length was changed to 400 miles beginning with the second race in 1997.
• The first NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race was held in September 2000.
• The track name was changed to Dover International Speedway in 2002.

Notebook
• There have been 77 NASCAR Sprint Cup races at Dover International Speedway since the track opened in 1969.
• There was one race in 1969 and 1970. There has been two-a-year since 1971.
• There have been 33 different pole winners, led by David Pearson (six). Qualifying has been canceled three times.
• David Pearson won the first NASCAR Sprint Cup pole in July 1969.
• Mark Martin and Ryan Newman lead all active drivers, each with four poles.
• 32 different drivers have posted victories led by Bobby Allison and Richard Petty, each with seven.
• Richard Petty won the first NASCAR Sprint Cup race.
• Bill Elliott, Jeff Gordon and Mark Martin lead all active drivers, each with four victories.
• Hendrick Motorsports has 10 wins, more than any other car owner.
• 46 races at Dover have been won from a top-five starting position, while only 17 races – including three of the past four – have been won from a starting position outside the top 10.
• The furthest back in the field a race winner started was 37th by Kyle Petty in 1995.
• There has been one green-white-checkered finish at Dover: September 2005 (404 laps).

Hot Facts
• Carl Edwards has an average finish of 8.3 in five races at Dover, the best among active drivers. Only David Pearson (8.0 in 16 races) has a better average finish among the drivers with more than two starts there.
• Ryan Newman won at Dover in June 2003 - the first victory for Dodge there since 1975. Newman repeated as the race winner in the fall race, the first time Dodge posted consecutive victories at Dover. Newman then won again in the fall of 2004, giving Dodge three of their five Dover victories in the four-race span.

NASCAR in Delaware
• There have been 77 NASCAR Sprint Cup races in Delaware, all at Dover International Speedway.
• Eight drivers in NASCAR’s three national series have their home state recorded as Delaware, though none have posted victories.

Dover International Speedway Data
Race #: 28 of 36 (9-21-08)
Track Size: 1 mile
• Banking/Corners: 24 degrees 
• Banking/Straights: 9 degrees
• Frontstretch: 1,076 feet 
• Backstretch: 1,076 feet
Driver Rating at Dover 
Greg Biffle          116.1
Matt Kenseth     112.3
Kyle Busch        106.9
Carl Edwards     102.9
Jimmie Johnson 101.5
Ryan Newman     99.7
Martin Truex Jr.    99.4
Mark Martin         98.7
Kurt Busch          97.3
Jeff Burton           90.8
Note: Driver Rating compiled from 2005-2008 races (7 total) at Dover.

Qualifying/Race Data
2007 pole winner: Jimmie Johnson (154.765 mph, 23.261 seconds)
2007 race winner: Carl Edwards (101.846 mph, 6-4-07)
Track qualifying record: Jeremy Mayfield (161.522 mph, 22.288 secs., 
6-4-04)
Track race record: Mark Martin (132.719 mph, 9-21-97)

Estimated Pit Window: Every 72-78 laps, based on fuel mileage.

 

 

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